2023 Box Office Predictions
Another terrible list of me predicting the box office earnings of 2023 films horribly wrong.
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- DirectorPeyton ReedStarsPaul RuddEvangeline LillyMichael DouglasScott Lang and Hope Van Dyne are dragged into the Quantum Realm, along with Hope's parents and Scott's daughter Cassie. Together they must find a way to escape, but what secrets is Hope's mother hiding? And who is the mysterious Kang?Opening Weekend: $90 - $100 million ($106,109,650)
Total Domestic Gross: $300 - $325 million ($214,467,569)
Total Worldwide Gross: $850 - $900 million ($463,595,963)
Distributor: Disney
Edit: The fact that it only made double its opening weekend is hilarious, but greatly appreciated. - DirectorJohn Francis DaleyJonathan GoldsteinStarsChris PineMichelle RodriguezRegé-Jean PageA charming thief and a band of unlikely adventurers embark on an epic quest to retrieve a lost relic, but things go dangerously awry when they run afoul of the wrong people.Opening Weekend: $50 - $60 million ($37,205,784)
Total Domestic Gross: $150 - $175 million ($93,054,502)
Total Worldwide Gross: $400 - $450 million ($207,954,502)
Distributor: Paramount
Edit: Even though my numbers were pretty high, I'm glad to see this movie still exceeded the expectations the industry had as well. - DirectorDavid F. SandbergStarsZachary LeviAsher AngelJack Dylan GrazerThe film continues the story of teenage Billy Batson who, upon reciting the magic word "SHAZAM!", is transformed into his adult superhero alter ego, Shazam.Opening Weekend: $50 - $60 million ($30,111,158)
Total Domestic Gross: $125 - $150 million ($57,638,006)
Total Worldwide Gross: $300 - $350 million ($132,205,098)
Distributor: Warner Bros.
Edit: Pretty Funny how this ended up having the lowest opening of all FIVE March Blockbusters - DirectorChad StahelskiStarsKeanu ReevesLaurence FishburneGeorge GeorgiouJohn Wick uncovers a path to defeating The High Table. But before he can earn his freedom, Wick must face off against a new enemy with powerful alliances across the globe and forces that turn old friends into foes.Opening Weekend: $70 - $80 million ($73,817,950)
Total Domestic Gross: $200 - $225 million ($187,131,806)
Total Worldwide Gross: $400 - $450 million ($432,249,673)
Distributor: Lionsgate
Edit: Love me a good success story of a little franchise that could. Well done, Lionsgate! - DirectorMatt Bettinelli-OlpinTyler GillettStarsCourteney CoxMelissa BarreraJenna OrtegaIn the next installment, the survivors of the Ghostface killings leave Woodsboro behind and start a fresh chapter in New York City.Opening Weekend: $20 - $25 million ($44,447,270)
Total Domestic Gross: $50 - $60 million ($108,161,389)
Total Worldwide Gross: $100 - $125 million ($168,834,132)
Distributor: Paramount
Edit: I should have pushed up my numbers because I forgot about the Jenna Ortega effect. - DirectorAaron HorvathMichael JelenicPierre LeducStarsChris PrattAnya Taylor-JoyCharlie DayA plumber named Mario travels through an underground labyrinth with his brother Luigi, trying to save a captured princess.Opening Weekend: $90 - $100 million ($146,361,865)
Total Domestic Gross: $350 - $400 million ($574,934,330)
Total Worldwide Gross: $950 million - $1.050 billion ($1,361,683,297)
Distributor: Universal
Edit: My estimates were pretty low, but I couldn't be happier about that. - DirectorJames GunnStarsChris PrattChukwudi IwujiBradley CooperStill reeling from the loss of Gamora, Peter Quill rallies his team to defend the universe and one of their own - a mission that could mean the end of the Guardians if not successful.Opening Weekend: $150 - $175 million ($118,414,021)
Total Domestic Gross: $375 - $425 million ($358,995,815)
Total Worldwide Gross: $950 million - $1.050 billion ($845,468,744)
Distributor: Disney - DirectorLouis LeterrierStarsVin DieselMichelle RodriguezJason StathamDom Toretto and his family are targeted by the vengeful son of drug kingpin Hernan Reyes.Opening Weekend: $80 - $90 million ($67,017,410)
Total Domestic Gross: $200 - $225 million ($145,960,660)
Total Worldwide Gross: $900 - $950 million ($719,411,721)
Distributor: Universal - DirectorRob MarshallStarsHalle BaileyJonah Hauer-KingMelissa McCarthyA young mermaid makes a deal with a sea witch to trade her beautiful voice for human legs so she can discover the world above water and impress a prince.Opening Weekend: $50 - $60 million ($95,578,040)
Total Domestic Gross: $125 - $150 million ($298,172,056)
Total Worldwide Gross: $400 - $450 million ($568,345,048)
Distributor: Disney
Edit: I despise Disney remakes. I'm hoping this flops so Disney sees that the general audience is getting tired of rehashed stories just told worse somehow.
Edit 2: Thankfully performed $10 million less than industry estimates. Still a good chance less and less people will show up for these movies. - DirectorJoaquim Dos SantosKemp PowersJustin K. ThompsonStarsShameik MooreHailee SteinfeldBrian Tyree HenryMiles Morales catapults across the multiverse, where he encounters a team of Spider-People charged with protecting its very existence. When the heroes clash on how to handle a new threat, Miles must redefine what it means to be a hero.Opening Weekend: $70 - $80 million ($120,663,589)
Total Domestic Gross: $250 - $275 million ($381,311,319)
Total Worldwide Gross: $500 - $550 million ($682,977,332)
Distributor: Sony
Edit: I would love to put my estimates higher, but I want to play it safe, seeing as the first film made only $35 million in its opening weekend. I do expect WOM to be extremely strong, however.
Edit 2: So glad my estimates were low. Awesome to see this film perform the way it did. - DirectorSteven Caple Jr.StarsAnthony RamosDominique FishbackLuna Lauren VelezDuring the '90s, a new faction of Transformers - the Maximals - join the Autobots as allies in the battle for Earth.Opening Weekend: $50 - $60 million ($61,045,464)
Total Domestic Gross: $125 - $150 million ($157,066,392)
Total Worldwide Gross: $500 - $550 million ($437,669,281)
Distributor: Paramount - DirectorAndy MuschiettiStarsEzra MillerMichael KeatonSasha CalleBarry Allen uses his super speed to change the past, but his attempt to save his family creates a world without super heroes, forcing him to race for his life in order to save the future.Opening Weekend: $80 - $90 million ($55,043,679)
Total Domestic Gross: $200 - $250 million ($108,133,313)
Total Worldwide Gross: $600 - $700 million ($266,516,138)
Distributor: Warner Bros
Edit: Holy Shit. That's bad. - DirectorJames MangoldStarsHarrison FordPhoebe Waller-BridgeAntonio BanderasArchaeologist Indiana Jones races against time to retrieve a legendary artifact that can change the course of history.Opening Weekend: $80 - $90 million ($60,368,101)
Total Domestic Gross: $225 - $250 million ($174,480,468)
Total Worldwide Gross: $700 - $750 million ($381,579,529)
Distributor: Disney
Edit: This is funny - DirectorChristopher McQuarrieStarsTom CruiseHayley AtwellVing RhamesEthan Hunt and his IMF team must track down a dangerous weapon before it falls into the wrong hands.Opening Weekend: $90 - $100 million ($54,688,347)
Total Domestic Gross: $275 - $300 million ($172,135,383)
Total Worldwide Gross: $900 - $950 million ($566,510,846)
Distributor: Paramount - DirectorGreta GerwigStarsMargot RobbieRyan GoslingIssa RaeBarbie and Ken are having the time of their lives in the colorful and seemingly perfect world of Barbie Land. However, when they get a chance to go to the real world, they soon discover the joys and perils of living among humans.Opening Weekend: $100 - $110 million ($162,022,044)
Total Domestic Gross: $275 - $300 million ($636,140,954)
Total Worldwide Gross: $500 - $550 million ($1,441,346,254)
Distributor: Warner Bros
Edit: While my estimates seem pretty low, I could see this becoming another Minions 2 scenario where memes really increase its overall performance.
Edit 2: Holy shit! Barbenheimer was a massive success, and a huge win for Warner Bros, who desperately needed a hit. - DirectorChristopher NolanStarsCillian MurphyEmily BluntMatt DamonThe story of American scientist J. Robert Oppenheimer and his role in the development of the atomic bomb.Opening Weekend: $60 - $70 million ($82,455,420)
Total Domestic Gross: $200 - $225 million ($325,283,540)
Total Worldwide Gross: $600 - $650 million ($950,682,319)
Distributor: Universal
Edit: What Oppenheimer and Barbie accomplished is nothing short of extraordinary. Love seeing movies like these succeed while Disney is slowly seeing their remakes make less and less each year - DirectorNia DaCostaStarsBrie LarsonTeyonah ParrisIman VellaniCarol Danvers gets her powers entangled with those of Kamala Khan and Monica Rambeau, forcing them to work together to save the universe.Opening Weekend: $125 - $150 million ($46,110,859)
Total Domestic Gross: $325 - $375 million
Total Worldwide Gross: $750 - $800 million
Distributor: Disney
Edit: Oh god. This is gonna end up worse than The Flash. - DirectorNeill BlomkampStarsDavid HarbourOrlando BloomArchie MadekweBased on the unbelievable, inspiring true story of a team of underdogs - a struggling, working-class gamer, a failed former race car driver, and an idealistic motorsport exec - who risk it all to take on the most elite sport in the world.Opening Weekend: $30 - $40 million ($17,410,552)
Total Domestic Gross: $80 - $110 million ($44,413,567)
Total Worldwide Gross: $250 - $300 million ($117,848,407)
Distributor: Sony - DirectorJustin SimienStarsLaKeith StanfieldRosario DawsonOwen WilsonA single mom named Gabbie hires a tour guide, a psychic, a priest and a historian to help exorcise her newly bought mansion after discovering it is inhabited by ghosts.Opening Weekend: $20 - $30 million ($24,082,475)
Total Domestic Gross: $75 - $90 million ($67,653,287)
Total Worldwide Gross: $200 - $250 million ($114,813,700)
Distributor: Disney
Edit: If I had a dollar for every Disney flop this year, I'd be rich - DirectorMichael ChavesStarsTaissa FarmigaJonas BloquetStorm Reid1956 - France. A priest is murdered. An evil is spreading. The sequel to the worldwide smash hit follows Sister Irene as she once again comes face-to-face with Valak, the demon nun.Opening Weekend: $30 - $40 million ($32,603,336)
Total Domestic Gross: $70 - $100 million ($86,267,073)
Total Worldwide Gross: $225 - $250 million ($268,057,328)
Distributor: Warner Bros. - DirectorFrancis LawrenceStarsRachel ZeglerTom BlythViola DavisCoriolanus Snow mentors and develops feelings for the female District 12 tribute during the 10th Hunger Games.Opening Weekend: $60 - $70 million ($44,607,143)
Total Domestic Gross: $175 - $200 million
Total Worldwide Gross: $450 - $500 million
Distributor: Lionsgate
Edit: So glad this became the November hit after Dune Part II was pushed back. - DirectorChris BuckFawn VeerasunthornStarsAriana DeBoseChris PineAlan TudykA young girl named Asha wishes on a star and gets a more direct answer than she bargained for when a trouble-making star comes down from the sky to join her.Opening Weekend: $50 - $60 million ($19,698,228)
Total Domestic Gross: $200 - $225 million
Total Worldwide Gross: $550 - $600 million
Distributor: Disney
Edit: That seals it. Disney probably had it's worst box office performance EVER for one year. But I'm all here for it. - DirectorPaul KingStarsTimothée ChalametGustave DieMurray McArthurWith dreams of opening a shop in a city renowned for its chocolate, a young and poor Willy Wonka discovers that the industry is run by a cartel of greedy chocolatiers.Opening Weekend: $40 - $50 million ($39,005,800)
Total Domestic Gross: $150 - $175 million
Total Worldwide Gross: $350 - $400 million
Distributor: Warner Bros.
Edit: Those holiday legs are INSANE right now. What a much needed win for Warner Bros. - DirectorJames WanStarsJason MomoaPatrick WilsonYahya Abdul-Mateen IIBlack Manta seeks revenge on Aquaman for his father's death. Wielding the Black Trident's power, he becomes a formidable foe. To defend Atlantis, Aquaman forges an alliance with his imprisoned brother. They must protect the kingdom.Opening Weekend: $60 - $70 million ($27,700,000)
Total Domestic Gross: $275 - $300 million
Total Worldwide Gross: $850 - $900 million
Distributor: Warner Bros.
Edit: On the other side of things... - DirectorPeter SohnStarsLeah LewisMamoudou AthieRonnie Del CarmenFollows Ember and Wade, in a city where fire-, water-, earth- and air-residents live together.Opening Weekend: $60 - $70 million ($29,602,429)
Total Domestic Gross: $175 - $225 million ($154,426,697)
Total Worldwide Gross: $600 - $650 million ($486,906,781)
Distributor: Disney - DirectorMichael B. JordanStarsMichael B. JordanTessa ThompsonJonathan MajorsAdonis has been thriving in both his career and family life, but when a childhood friend and former boxing prodigy resurfaces, the face-off is more than just a fight.Opening Weekend: $25 - $35 million ($58,370,007)
Total Domestic Gross: $75 - $100 million ($156,248,615)
Total Worldwide Gross: $150 - $175 million ($272,297,118)
Distributor: United Artists - DirectorElizabeth BanksStarsKeri RussellAlden EhrenreichO'Shea Jackson Jr.An oddball group of cops, criminals, tourists and teens converge on a Georgia forest where a huge black bear goes on a murderous rampage after unintentionally ingesting cocaine.Opening Weekend: $20 - $30 million ($23,260,790)
Total Domestic Gross: $60 - $90 million ($64,388,510)
Total Worldwide Gross: $100 - $150 million ($89,292,739)
Distributor: Universal
Edit: COCAINE BEAR SWEEP! - DirectorEmma TammiStarsJosh HutchersonPiper RubioElizabeth LailA troubled security guard begins working at Freddy Fazbear's Pizza. During his first night on the job, he realizes that the night shift won't be so easy to get through. Pretty soon he will unveil what actually happened at Freddy's.Opening Weekend: $50 - $60 million ($80,001,720)
Total Domestic Gross: $125 - $150 million ($137,275,620)
Total Worldwide Gross: $175 - $225 million ($294,645,154)
Distributor: Universal
Edit: Universal really decided to go all out with absurd movie decisions, but that's something I love to see from a studio. Honestly this could be a great adaptation with Cawthon producing and with how good the animatronics look from the BTS shots.
Edit 2: What a year for Universal! Between this, Oppenheimer, Mario, and Puss and Boot's rollover, it's been quite the year for the studio!