Frontrunners are already forming for the Oscar Best Actor race, according to early predictions at Gold Derby. Now that the three major fall film festivals — Telluride, Venice and Toronto — have premiered many of the most anticipated titles, the predictions reflect the flux now that some film critics and industry leaders have passed judgment on possible contenders. The top 10 for male leads have completely shifted save for Taron Egerton
”), who retains the eighth spot. Whereas Leonardo DiCaprio
(“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”) held first place for a while, he has dropped to third while Adam Driver
”) zoomed up to No. 1. Similarly, Joaquin Phoenix
(“Joker”) bumped Robert De Niro
”) out of the second place and down to the fifth spot. We’ve confirmed most category placements with studios or campaigners, but — as awards season veterans know — some decisions aren’t yet final and changes may occur.