The Inside California Politics/Emerson College poll, conducted July 30-August 1, 2021, found 46% of respondents in favor of recalling Newsom and 48% of voters against his recall. Those numbers are within the poll’s 3% margin of error, making the results a virtual — if not literal — dead heat. Six percent of voters were undecided.
Support for recalling the once-popular governor, who crushed Republican challenger John Cox in 2018 by a margin of 62%-38%, the largest share of the vote for any Democratic candidate for governor in state history, according to Ballotpedia.
More recently, the last Inside California Politics/Emerson College poll in mid July had Newsom ahead of the vote to recall 48% to 43% with 9% of voters undecided.
Newsom has lost support from a majority of Latino voters, with