"The X-Files" Improbable (TV Episode 2002) Poster

(TV Series)

(2002)

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6/10
Oh God why?
RuthAkien9 April 2010
Warning: Spoilers
It's really difficult to say why you don't find something funny, just that you don't. Maybe it's that the number theory (the way it's used in the show) doesn't have enough thought/detail behind it for me. Maybe it's that I find Burt R makes everything he's in feel over the top, and don't like this feel in x-files. Anyway, I was surprised Improbable is rated so high.

Stuff I did like:

  • The numerology description of Doggett and his response (funny).


  • S and R pairing. Nice dynamic + they work well together. Would have enjoyed more of this in season nine.


  • Because of S and R pairing, there's no pushing the R and D romance because they're not together much. Pushing R and D has made enjoyable episodes less enjoyable. - interesting teaser. - numerologist realising it's her.


  • liked dour task-force guy- good for them to have someone to play off.


  • the basic theory is really interesting.


Stuff I have no idea if I love or hate:

  • Burt.


  • R embarrassing herself by telling her theory to the task-force. It was funny but would see throw away a career opportunity by telling in that way.


  • reusing some of the numbers for different theories about the murderer (and his MO) i.e. 6 or 9 on the board.


Stuff that annoyed me:

  • the music. The music set a tone that said you should find this episode hilariously light-hearted, and if you don't then it's quite annoying.


  • Burt's motives. He helps R and S in the car park but not any other time. Why bother? Why do anything?


  • Some events were too silly for me.


No doubt it's destiny that I'm giving this a 6.
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7/10
Nonsensical Numerology Turns Out Alright!
atcaver11 February 2023
The story of the episode leaves a lot to be desired. The premise with Reyes being so heavily interested in Numerology comes completely out of left field. Yes, she's more in tune with the esoteric and mystical than the other series regulars, but for her to pull that connection between the previous victims out of thin air like that requires a level of dedication that goes beyond simple suspension of disbelief.

However, once the numerology connection is established I think they did a good job tying things into it. Even small details like the number of buttons on Monica's coat played into it fantastically. It makes for a fun viewing experience to try and catch all the hints at things through numbers.

What really stands out in this episode is Burt Reynolds' just having a good ole time with his character. You can tell he loved being able to goof off and play it a little more casual than most of his roles.

The musical choices were great and really added that extra flavor to the episode. People complaining about them and the ending sequence in Little Italy obviously don't know the connection between Southern Italy/Sicily and numerology!

Also had to give props to Chris Carter's final jaunt in the director's chair. The direction and camera work were fantastic, especially compared to some episodes in this season so far. Would have been an easy 6 otherwise.
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7/10
An enjoyable episode due to great music and Burt Reynolds
basil-251-25637723 June 2017
Warning: Spoilers
Unlike some previous reviewers, I actually enjoyed this episode, Burt Reynolds brought a happy charm to the X Files playing what I would describe as an "omnipotent" being, I couldn't work out whether he was going to turn out to be God, the Devil or maybe an angel of sorts, but whatever he was meant to be, he gave the episode some intrigue and buckets of that charm of his. As for the story-line, well, another serial killer, another episode where our FBI heroes are placed in mortal danger, so what was new was really Burt Reynolds and the quirky music, very nice.
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10/10
How Improbable?
flatrich23 May 2014
Of all nine seasons of The X-Files, I gotta say this was my favorite episode.

No Mulder, aliens, super soldiers, Lone Gunmen, clones, conspiracies or any of the usual unusual.

This episode is truly a stand-alone.

A delightful Burt Reynolds dominates the cast in a story sort of about luck and a serial killer and an Italian street fair.

Agents Reyes finds a numerical correlation between some unsolved murders using numerology.

No one believes her at first, but then the numbers start adding up for Scully and Doggett and the FBI is on the case.

Songs (in Italian) and a Fellini-like score round out this darkly comic episode.

Written and directed by Chris Carter, it is just plain fun.

If there was ever a single episode of The X-Files deserving of an Emmy or two, this was it.

Not to be missed!
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10/10
The Triple Zero Killer
MerovingianGoddess21 August 2013
Murders in threes! I love numerology and it truly is an art but also a science, and a philosophy according to Pythagoras. The parody of the dialog is clever and amazingly accurate. Never let it be said that Chris Carter does not do his occult homework! And the aging Burt Reynolds is brilliant in this episode. "Your a card" "It's a Game" "Show me Fifth Street" "Her number was up" and then, out of nowhere "Have you noticed all babies look like Winston Churchill?" Oh come on - that's just hilarious!

It's just so cleverly written! I absolutely love the way Agent Reyes has no regrets or excuses about any of her beliefs or theories. She just believes it and smiles when someone asks her for logic. She even bewilders Mulder, so you gotta love that! "Einstein. Now there's a winner."

This is a fun and intelligent episode. Not since some of the earliest episodes was this much fun poured into an episode. Personally, I would have loved for Doggett and Reyes to have gone on to be "X-Files: the Next Generation"
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10/10
There's always checkers.
Muldernscully26 November 2007
Severely lacking in seasons 8 & 9, was some fun. Chris Carter finally discovered that and gave us Improbable before the end of the series. What captures your attention right away is the music in this episode. It is so catchy, and fun! I just can't help moving my feet to it.

This is Reyes' first chance to do comedy, I guess Doggett's as well, though it doesn't feel like it because of all his clever one-liners we are used to hearing.

I like the cinematography at the beginning of the episode as Reyes is walking through the FBI as people are passing her left and right. Very creative.

The FBI finally upgraded the x-files office overhead projector. Reyes uses a very sleek-looking hi-tech one.

Burt Reynolds is perfect in his "Role". Very enjoyable. The garage segment is just classic. I like the message that Carter is trying to get across in this episode, although Wayne-O never gets it, unfortunately. Ray McKinnon also does an excellent job as Mad Wayne or Wayne-O, as Burt Reynolds calls him.

I also like this episode because it offers a different combination. Instead of Scully and Doggett or Doggett and Reyes, it's Scully and Reyes for the most part. Power to the women! I found it very interesting that Carter uses a brand new A.D. to run the case instead of A.D. Skinner. I was hoping that Carter would explain why he used a new character instead of Skinner in his commentary, but he doesn't. Also an interesting note from the commentary: Ray McKinnon, who plays Mad Wayne, won an Oscar for a short film he wrote and directed while filming this episode.

Reyes' theory on numerology gets a little tiring, but not enough for me to drop this episode a point. The music is catchy and contagious, the dialogue is funny and entertaining, and though it seems "improbable", Improbable is one of the best episodes of season nine.
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Just plain enjoyed the episode
dtrimblelist-18 June 2008
I caught Improbable as a rerun last night. At first I thought it was one of those Halloween episodes full of tongue-in-cheek. Admittedly, it was the great soundtrack that evoked that sense. Burt Reynolds character is a delightfully anomalous figure and open to interpretation. He could be Destiny, God, Loki, Luck or any other personification of chance/predestination. I enjoyed his nonchalance approach to engagement. His relaxed demeanor left decisions to the mind and will of characters throughout the seemingly choreographed samba of cat-and-mouse play. Numerology was the dance instructor. Man! I miss the X-Files!
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3/10
Wots, uh, the deal
mightofthesun6 February 2007
I didn't like this one. It's based on a very interesting idea, that the enormity and complexity of the universe can be reduced to a single, simple equation. Nowadays they'd build a whole series around that concept. Unfortunately that idea got lost in an impenetrable storyline that left me decidedly flummoxed by end credits. Let me admit right here that a big part of my attraction to the X-Files is its plot contrivances and normally vague resolutions. I think anyone who really likes the show must feel the same way, especially if you stayed tuned in through the last couple seasons. But this episode takes the usual confusion associated with the program to another level. I would wager anything that none of the actors, Gillian Anderson, Annabeth Gish, nor Robert Patrick (and certainly not Burt Reynolds), could make heads or tails of this mess if you asked them about it, even as they were shooting it. In fact, I would challenge even the writers of the show to articulate exactly what's going on here. You see, I cannot give any concise summary of the episode because its impossible. Of course I did rather enjoy the playful tone of the episode. However it would take a lot more charm than Mr. Evening Shade could ever offer to distract from the inanity of the plot. Actually I don't know if I should even call it a plot. And I doubt anyone disagrees because to this point no one else has posted anything about 'Improbable'. For fans willing to sit through the episode it's hard to acknowledge how bad it is.
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9/10
A brighter spot in the last seasons of the X-Files
johnstamosisdead18 June 2007
I don't understand how one cannot "get" the plot for this episode. Agent Reyes had been examining numerology when she hears of a recent murder, it allows her to connect this murder with previous ones. Scully, who is skeptical of numerology, notices that all the women have a particular mark, which ties the cases together.

We then see our killer, he is inside a bar where he kills another woman, and nearby is a strange man(Burt Reynolds). The next time we see the killer, he approaches Mr. Burt, who is playing three card monte, having recognized him from before.

Reyes goes to see a numerologist, who just as she finds something, is killed. Eventually, this leads to Scully, Reyes, Mr. Burt, and the killer all inside a parking garage. Mr. Burt convinces the agents to play checkers, which leads to Reyes noticing that their colors are red and black, which fits into the pattern of the serial killer, he had been killing women by patterns of hair, the last victim being blonde. Mr. Burt asks Reyes if the numbers are helping the killer, or if they are helping them catch him, which certainly hints at something about Mr. Burt, as well as his love of music, having seemingly every CD in the trunk of his car, and his viewing everything as a game.

The killer corners the agents and is about to shoot Reyes when Doggett, who had found the killer his own way, by recognizing a pattern in the locations of the victims, shoots him dead. Mr. Burt is nowhere to be seen.

The end of the episode shows to old Italian men singing a song as the body of the killer is hauled out of the parking garage, some kind of festival is going on, as the camera zooms out you see the face of Mr. Burt made from the lights of the city far below, and then the screen blacks out to the credits.

I took Mr. Burt as being God, who, although not directly, stops the serial killer by making his actions into a pattern that could be recognized, using numbers and other coincidences. Basically saying that God is looking out for people, albeit in a strange playful way, if the people are open to everything.
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1/10
Stupidest episode ever of any show
joipaige1 July 2020
HATED IT! The music was awful. Numerology is ridiculous. The whole episode could have been removed and no one would be the wiser.
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10/10
A super fun episode
harveymarosehope25 February 2021
It's fun! They had some real downer episodes in this season, so this light-hearted episode was a nice reprieve. It doesn't always have to be monsters, aliens and conspiracies.
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9/10
Who was that man?
Sleepin_Dragon29 November 2022
In the hunt for a serial killer, Agent Reyes believes that she's worked out who, how and why by a mathematical formula.

I thoroughly enjoyed this one, such a random mix of styles, it was bright and fun at times, but dark and heavier when it needed to be.

No wonder Burt Reynolds has been loved the whole world over, he was truly captivating here, endless charm and charisma, he stole every scene he appeared in, talk about star quality.

I loved the music, and the sheer originality of the production, it was like no other episode.

I enjoyed the bit of conflict between Scully and Reyes, that's been too long coming, the pair have agreed on almost everything so far, their disputes over methods and theories were pretty good, just a shame we didn't see much of Agent Doggett.

9/10.
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9/10
A very fun episode
kahurley7 February 2007
Warning: Spoilers
I had only seen this episode once when it first premiered, but it came on tonight and I saw it again. This was a very fun episode, too bad Duchovny wasn't involved. Burt Reynolds makes this one, no question. And the various musics & songs...great! It is a true X Files episode in that it's confusing and makes you think, but it is also extremely lighthearted and comical at the same time.

One thing confusing is who Burt Reynolds' character truly is. It appears he has the advantage of knowing the patterns people make and can thus draw conclusions as to what they're going to do, but at the same time not to give the appearance of knowing this. I wouldn't say that he's just a man, but it could be argued that he's Fate or God. The discussion Scully & Reyes have about God playing checkers would be very ironic if his character somehow was God. Either way, a stand-alone episode not to miss!
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3/10
Its what you do with the hand you're dealt
Sanpaco1326 September 2007
Warning: Spoilers
So Reyes is really into numerology. And because of this she is able to make connections to a number of unsolved murders and tie them all to one serial killer. I love the part where she makes a total moron out of herself by explaining to everyone her numerological profile of the killer. And then answers her phone all proud of herself completely clueless that everyone there now thinks she is a total moron. It is kind of a shame too because numerology and this sort of thing actually are quite interesting to me. But this episode takes an interesting topic and turns it into filler material for the series.

I don't really like this episode. The main reason is I just am not a fan of Burt Reynolds. Everyone always rants and raves about how great he is but everything I've seen him in he just bugs the crud out of me. Another problem I have with the episode is that it is not very obvious what the crap Chris Carter is trying to say with this episode as he explains in the commentary. Apparently Burt Reynolds is supposed to be playing God. This makes the episode make a little more sense but doesn't exactly improve my liking of the episode as Burt Reynolds is the exact opposite of what I would imagine God to be. And I'm sorry Chris but I doubt God would wear a bunch of tacky clothing just because he likes nature. And I doubt he follows serial killers around trying to teach them how to gamble.

I have one good thing to say about the episode but even this is kind of bittersweet. I like the music used. The problem I have is the part where Burt Reynolds does the lip sync. This entire scene could have actually worked really well without his terrible attempt to lip sync. He looks like some dork in the car trying to pretend like he really likes a song but he's not even sure of the lyrics. And at the end although the whole Italian festival is kind of humorous to watch it seems like Chris Carter just didn't have any idea what else to do with such a lame story because this honestly has nothing to do with the episode. Oh and of course if you ever want to make a character mysterious just have them be able to disappear out of a parking garage. How predictable was that? Oh man what a bad episode. 3 out of 10.
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9/10
Under-rated gem
mikemikeparker30 May 2022
I can't understand the gripes about this episode. TXF has ways had humorous episodes e.g. The Modern Preometheus or The Ghosts who stole Christmas. This is a lovely, musical episode , graced by the presence of Burt Reynolds. Watch it again and count the reoccurrence of the number 3 as you do so...it's addictive!
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2/10
Make it stop
pat66442213 July 2022
Warning: Spoilers
The music of the episode is the first deal breaker; it's relentless and very niche.

The second is Reynolds character - that lip syncing scene? The "dancing" scene?? "God" just wants a couple games of checkers with agents before they're killed?

The third is Reyes' character. The writing for her character is not good and the actress doesn't bring a lot of likability to it. When Duchovny would say crazy theories, he understood they sounded crazy. Reyes blathering her random numbers with supposed meanings to the rest of the FBI with a grin on her face just looks completely absurd by comparison. She even says a couple of times her theories don't help the investigation. It's like she's just indulging her hobby instead working on the investigation.

This one is on the level of First Person Shooter for me.
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9/10
Another underrated season 9 episode
brian-wiz26 May 2019
At first I thought they were trying to recreate the quirky comedic episodes of seasons past, but this is a truly singular tone for The X-Files.

The show truly could have continued with Reyes and Doggett had the writing and directing continued in this fashion.

Burt is great, of course! The music is fantastic.
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9/10
just my take on a few things.
belsinger582122 June 2007
Warning: Spoilers
Although this had nothing to do with the story line of the season or series, I found this to be one of the best distractions (sidebars, segways, etc.) they made. I'm not really sure if numerology was the main topic, but on other hand just a minor. The plot is not "impenetrable" nor "impossible" to understand, it just took a little deeper understanding. Perhaps it was "improbable".

One thing I will add, was the clue of the colors of the Checker's game and the players. Everyone picked up on the agents corresponding hair colors, but I pose one of a few questions. What color was Mr. Burt playing with?

While I can play with the idea of him being God, Fate, or even Death. There is only one conclusion that keeps clicking all the right buttons for myself. There is a very old name for him, being 'Pitch' (funny also because of it's musical reference).

For those jumping up and down screaming "Mr. Burt helped the agents catch the serial killer", I ask back, did he? Or was he just really trying to collect on a damned soul? Or was he defying God's plan of each victim's death, by interfering? Hell, was he just having fun at our expense?

For those wanting a little more, I submit a few more overt clues: the cards used in the con game; the domino numbers shown and not shown; the ring on the killer; the Doggett map that led him; the count of the lead agent's (Fordyce, James) hand. I'll leave that to the numerologist's forte.

For the rest I submit a few more things, you should polish up on your french and Italian. There were quite a few jokes in there, but there was some very old songs also, passed down from age to age through lore. It's about the age old struggle between 'good and evil'. It's hard to translate. One is about "I of my Mother, and You". Another is "S**t Happens).

Please refer to 'Dante Divine Comedy' for more references.

despite below reviews, this was one of the best of the "XFiles", it's to bad that the minds out there couldn't understand (wave to AZ)...
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9/10
"It's not in the cards. It's playing the hand you're dealt."
classicsoncall29 August 2017
Warning: Spoilers
I won't even pretend to understand what this episode was all about. If anything, it's all right there in the title - 'Improbable'. That describes everything that's going on in the story, because the explanations and rationalizations everyone uses, particularly Agent Reyes, make no sense at all. The writing for the story is so convoluted that the result is nothing short of brilliant, a fun episode that's punctuated with all that lively offbeat music that it's impossible not to laugh. And Burt Reynolds - is it pretty safe to say that he was the biggest name celebrity to appear in any X-Files episode? Kudos to the series for bringing him on board. If he could get Scully and Reyes to play checkers in a garage under lock-down while a murderer's on the loose, well, that's a feather in the cap of any guest star on the show. The Italian street scene at the end of the story was reminiscent of the Seventh Season's 'Hollywood A.D', and on top of all the nonsense going on, this felt like the shortest episode in the entire run of the show, that's how quick it flew by for me. And it was all expressed best in the words of the immortal Mr. Burt - "We have a winner."
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2/10
Dear me......
helenaankhart15 December 2016
Warning: Spoilers
Here in dear old England we have a pantomime tradition descended, and I mean descended from the commedia dell'arte. Mainly consists of kids shouting 'Look out behind you' at has-beens who sing a few songs, and unknowns who promote their latest reality TV It's theatre for the season of Christmas when no-one really cares. This was the X-Files panto offering. The music made me hit the mute button, the acting made me nip out to the kitchen for a cup of tea. I suspect someone will say it was magic realism. It wasn't. It was panto, worse, it was, as the more vulgar in the UK say,pants. Sadly it's lazy although flashy. It wasted an intellectual idea drowned in snake-oil. Numerology may have been used for centuries. Doesn't make it credible. It's always interesting at some time in one's life, but like general astrology it's one size fits all.
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9/10
History of the world written on a 3 x 5 card...
donallenbraymer14 August 2021
Warning: Spoilers
I rarely write reviews, but I signed in to review this.

If you are not delighted and amused by this light hearted feather dusting of some of the great themes of literature in this episode, then maybe you missed out on what mankind has been thinking about for more or less a million years.

1. Are our lives more or less predictable from the moment, location and circumstance of our births?

2. If there is a God, and he is benevolent, then why does he leave evil running amuck so often?

3. If God is amongst us and making delicate and nuanced modifications to our activities here and there, exactly what would this look like?

The episode takes a shot at showing interference in the activities of a serial killer by a checkers playing, game of chance purveyor who seems to know evil when he sees it, but apparently is not allowed by some unwritten rule to directly interfere. Our lighthearted, other-worldly character actually challenges the serial killer at one point (just before an act of violence) by saying "why don't you just walk out the front door into the sunshine, take a breath of fresh air, go ahead, surprise me".

All the elements of the primary themes are right here in this single line of dialogue. It gets better as our intrepid agents run directly into our checkers playing friend pursuing the serial killer. Our friend says that he "is here to play a game of checkers with a guy.". To me, this appears to be a reference to good and evil being a nearly nim like game which routinely ends up being a tie.

It is hilarious as Sculley tells Reynolds to "stay right here" and Reynolds replies "I am hard to get rid of"

The evil is well represented as a killer who seems to quickly and violently end the lives of women with no understandable motive. The only thing that the women have in common is that they are alone and beautiful.

Free will does show up, and maybe ,just maybe, the interference of the odd character (played perfectly, looped or not, by Burt Reynolds) does aid in some way, and contribute to the end of the killing spree. This is not really a spoiler, as by now the audience knows that the killer is just about to be stopped (fated?)

If you like the X-Files, especially when they drift away from monsters and conspiracies, and tackle timeless spiritual questions, you will love this episode.
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1/10
Cringe episode, with an odd mood that doesn't match the story
derangedxzombie6 May 2023
This episode is based on numerology as a means to solving the case Monica has, and by itself wouldn't be too terrible (even if some may find it a bit convoluted or in need of clearer explanation).

But the tone of the episode is out of whack completely, it has some of the worst music I've ever heard, and rather cringey scenes such as Reynolds mouthing almost sexual sounding vocals (French or Italian) randomly whilst drawing cards, very bizarre indeed.

The atmosphere of the episode gives the impression it's supposed to be a more jovial or humorous episode, but it's not funny at all. Likely the worst episode of season 9.
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10/10
Mr. Burt: I think she's on to something!
bombersflyup19 April 2019
Warning: Spoilers
Improbable is about a serial killer case involving numerology and a wise man who likes to sing, dance and play checkers.

Out of the box, brilliant. I always look forward to this episode and have a blast each time. Burt Reynolds guest "stars," you could say. A few minor negatives in this almost perfect concoction; the FBI head honcho for a day and the killer's entire lack of performance.
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1/10
Music sucked
waldomag29 November 2022
Had to mute almost all the scenes with music. They tried to have the people speak lines from the music. Terribly annoying. One thing the trunk of music of long lasting tunes would not include the music in this episode.

The way they trivialized the life of the victims in this episode was disturbing. They make the murders seem like a game that is fun to play.

If X files was a comedy this episode might be fine. But X files tries to be 'The FBI story' to unexplained crime scenes, They at the beginning at least the first 5 seasons treated the subject seriously. After season 5 it has become a hodgepodge of episodes. Basically thinking they are the new Twilight Zone. Problem, they do not have Rod Serling to write, direct, or produce. Another problem, that is not what the X Files was. But, it seems like that is what it became with 2nd episode of season 6.
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5/10
Could have easily been so much more
marissa-340-1347410 April 2012
Warning: Spoilers
This episode revolves around numerology, which is accepted in new age beliefs just as much as astrology or tarot, which have been used in previous episodes and sometimes help and sometimes don't. The numerology aspect was instantly deemed a child's game (I had certainly never heard of it as a child), which I find odd because most people who don't like tarot or astrology can at least potentially accept numerology since it has it's roots in math, with people like Aristotle praising it. It's also a broader idea rather than a defined outcome.

My first problem was that Monica simply went to numerology instantly, despite never bringing up an interest in it before and for no apparent reason. She then consults a fairly respected numerologist, who flat out says she does believe in it. What? Why go to an "expert" who thinks that what she does is bull? Monica also randomly brings up karmic numbers without explaining them at all. Most people who have looked at it have never heard of them. They're technically a karmic debt that can affect any of your numbers, just adding additional challenges along the way. They were too late to save the last victim, and they way they caught the murder really had nothing to do with numerology at all.

Essentially they did just enough research to where people who have never heard of it would instantly debunk it as the show did, and to people who have even a slight grasp of it, it comes off as just making stuff up because it's not explained or even correct in its basic theory. This was the last season, the show was already going down hill, but if the writer had actually researched the method he was using at all it could have been a good episode. As it is, regardless of it being a new age thing or historical baseball stats, don't just make stuff up and pass it off as real. That's just insulting and lazy.
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